Extreme temperatures
Throughout the year, we experience on average 9 days of around 35°C and generally 1 heatwave lasting 4 days.
In the future, the number of days on average per year above 35°C is expected to increase to nearly 20 days in 2030 and 29 by 2050 under a high emissions scenario. We could also expect heatwaves to last for 7 days by 2050.
While long-term climate modelling for Wangaratta indicates a trend toward warmer average temperatures, the potential for rare or extreme cold weather events such as frosts or cold snaps remains.
Drought
In the future, rainfall will continue to be variable but is generally expected to decline, particularly over winter and spring. Droughts could become longer, more intense, and more severe.
Extreme rainfall and flooding
Our average annual rainfall across our region is about 906mm. Typically, the southern parts of the municipality experience more frequent wet days (on average 19) while the northern parts of the municipality only experience around 5 days of significant rain per year.
In the future, significant variability in rainfall is expected. For the Ovens Murray region, where the municipality is situated, it is projected that extreme rainfall events will become more frequent and intense.
Bushfires
In the future, as temperatures increase and the land gets drier, bushfires are expected to become more severe, more frequent, and last longer in our region.